Solana ETF odds reprice after issuer update
Prediction markets and SOL perps moved together inside a 12 minute window.
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Prediction markets and SOL perps moved together inside a 12 minute window.
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Both priced 99.9% taking profit on Iran risk premium. Also betting NO on Hormuz traffic normalizing by June.
betting France warships through Hormuz by May 31. Also $7.5K SELL on traffic normalizing by May 15.
Both priced 99.9% taking profit on Iran risk premium. Also betting NO on Hormuz traffic normalizing by June.
betting France warships through Hormuz by May 31. Also $7.5K SELL on traffic normalizing by May 15.
betting $10K Strait traffic stays blocked past May 15. Market at 99.9% YES against near-certainty.
Bessent and Miran at 99.9% smart money selling both. $2.3M says neither makes it.
The wallet is running a coordinated two-theme play: Strait of Hormuz stays blocked and US-China relations stay cold. The $10K on Strait traffic not returning by May 15 is the sharpest edge.
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